By Dane Miller, SuperWest Sports
November 5, 2024
ACC college football continues in Week 11 with seven games.
I preview all of them here, breaking down what’s at stake and what both teams must do to win.
Last week, I went 5-1 straight up, hitting 83% of my predictions. That gives me a 59-27 conference record, good for a 69% success rate on the season.
My picks for this week, both against the spread and straight up, are included with each breakdown as summarized in the table below.
No. 4 Miami at Georgia Tech
Saturday, November 9
9:00 am PT, ESPN
BETMGMSPORTSBOOK Line: Miami -11.5
What’s at Stake: The final score of Miami’s game against Duke doesn’t indicate how close the game was.
There’s a reason why the Hurricanes aren’t favored more heavily in this matchup. Mario Cristobal’s squad might be undefeated, but there are plenty of questions surrounding the team.
A convincing win against Georgia Tech would help alleviate some of those concerns.
Why Miami Wins: The running backs are efficient, Cam Ward picks and chooses his throws, and the defense contains Georgia Tech’s quarterback run plays.
Why Georgia Tech Wins: Haynes King is healthy and runs the ball like he normally does. On defense, the front seven gets short-yardage stops on third down.
—My Picks—
Against Spread: Miami
Straight Up: Miami
Syracuse at Boston College
Saturday, November 9
9:00 am PT, The CW
BETMGMSPORTSBOOK Line: Boston College -2.5
What’s at Stake: Syracuse is on the precipice of a special season.
Since joining the ACC in 2013, the Orange have just a single season with more than seven wins. But with a 6-2 record and multiple winnable games remaining, Syracuse is threatening to break through.
A victory over Boston College would be a statement to the rest of the ACC.
Why Syracuse Wins: Kyle McCord doesn’t turn the ball over, the run game is reasonably established, and the defense contains Thomas Castellanos on the ground.
Why Boston College Wins: Castellanos isn’t bothered by his lower-body injury, runs like he normally does, and the front seven gets pressure on McCord to speed up his decision-making process.
—My Picks—
Against Spread: Boston College
Straight Up: Boston College
No. 19 Clemson at Virginia Tech
Saturday, November 9
12:30 pm PT, ESPN
BETMGMSPORTSBOOK Line: Clemson -6.5
What’s at Stake: Clemson is looking to rebound after getting upset by Louisville.
Similarly, Virginia Tech blew a 21-3 second-half lead to Syracuse and lost in overtime.
Both teams need to regain momentum to get their seasons back on track.
Why Clemson Wins: The secondary prevents chunk plays through the air and the offense is efficient on third down.
Why Virginia Tech Wins: The Hokies win the time of possession battle and convert their red zone trips into touchdowns.
—My Picks—
Against Spread: Clemson
Straight Up: Clemson
Florida State at No. 10 Notre Dame
Saturday, November 9
4:30 pm PT, NBC
BETMGMSPORTSBOOK Line: Notre Dame -25.5
What’s at Stake: Florida State is at risk of getting embarrassed.
The College Football world has mostly forgotten about the program, but the matchup on NBC against Notre Dame is a spotlight.
The Vegas oddsmakers are expecting a substantial blowout and the game could get ugly.
Why Florida State Wins: The run game breaks out of its funk and the defense wins the turnover margin.
Why Notre Dame Wins: The defensive line handles FSU’s poor offensive front to make the Seminoles one-dimensional and inefficient.
—My Picks—
Against Spread: Notre Dame
Straight Up: Notre Dame
Virginia at No. 23 Pittsburgh
Saturday, November 9
5:00 pm PT, ACC Network
BETMGMSPORTSBOOK Line: Pitt -7.5
What’s at Stake: No longer undefeated, Pitt returns home looking to get back on track.
Virginia has lost three straight games and is in the middle of a tough stretch in its schedule.
How the Panthers look coming off a loss will indicate the strength or weakness of the roster.
Why Virginia Wins: Anthony Colandrea uses his legs to create positive plays on the ground and the defense creates multiple turnovers.
Why Pittsburgh Wins: The defense contains Colandrea from effectively scrambling and the running backs exceed their averages.
—My Picks—
Against Spread: Pitt
Straight Up: Pitt
Best Bets
Cal at Wake Forest
Friday, November 8
5:00 pm PT, ACC Network
BETMGMSPORTSBOOK Line: California -7
What’s at Stake: The Bears go on the road to face a struggling Wake Forest team.
The Deacons were blown out by Ole Miss, lost to Louisiana at home, beat UConn by just three, and only beat Stanford by a field goal.
This is not a game California should struggle in. Anything less than a convincing win would be a worrying sign.
Why California Wins: The run game is established on the ground and the secondary forces multiple interceptions.
Why Wake Forest Wins: The defensive line gets consistent penetration into the backfield and the offense doesn’t turn the ball over.
—My Picks—
Against Spread: California
Straight Up: California
Duke at NC State
Saturday, November 9
12:30 pm PT, ACC Network
BETMGMSPORTSBOOK Line: NC State -3
What’s at Stake: Duke was right in the game with Miami and continues to be underappreciated.
But the Blue Devils have lost two straight games and three of their last four.
Still, Manny Diaz’s team could win out and it starts with NC State.
Why Duke Wins: Maalik Murphy is accurate under pressure and the front seven wins the physicality battle in the trenches.
Why North Carolina State Wins: The offensive line provides the time needed for CJ Bailey to execute throws and the secondary generates interceptions.
—My Picks—
Against Spread: Duke
Straight Up: Duke
Dane Miller’s ACC Game Picks
2024 Week 11 ACC Games |
Straight-Up Picks |
Cal at Wake Forest Nov 8, 5:00 pm PT |
Cal |
No. 4 Miami at Georgia Tech Nov 9, 9:00 am PT |
Miami |
Syracuse at Boston College Nov 9, 9:00 am PT |
Boston College |
No. 19 Clemson at Virginia Tech Nov 9, 12:30 pm PT |
Clemson |
Duke at NC State Nov 9, 12:30 pm PT |
Duke |
Florida State at No. 10 Notre Dame Nov 9, 4:30 pm PT |
Notre Dame |
Virginia at No. 23 Pitt Nov 9, 5:00 pm PT |
Pitt |
Miller’s Overall ACC Record | 59-27 (69%) |
Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (Available in the US)
Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY)
Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA)
21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Rewards are non-withdrawable bonus bets that expire in 7 days. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. See BetMGM.com for Terms. US promotional offers not available in Mississippi, New York, Nevada, Ontario, or Puerto Rico. First Bet Offer up to $1500*. *Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms.
-
2024 Final SuperWest Football Top 10 Power Rankings
Dane Miller highlights the best of the 25 teams in our coverage area across four conferences - December 2, 2024 -
2024 Week 14 Big 12 Football Previews, Best Bets, Picks
Dane Miller breaks down the top contests with what's at stake & what both teams must do to win - November 28, 2024 -
2024 Week 14 ACC Football Previews, Best Bets, and Picks
Dane Miller breaks down the contests with what's at stake and what both teams must do to win - November 26, 2024