Ranking Sweet 16 teams by chances to win NCAA championship

March 25, 2026

By Mike Decourcy, The Sporting News: With the Sweet 16 established of the 2026 NCAA Tournament, you’ll notice there are nothing but Power 5 programs involved.

That’s a common complaint regarding March Madness now. We still have as much March as ever, but perhaps less madness depending on how one defines it. We had buzzer-beaters and shocking results, and we had the continued improvement in the quality of play. The late John Adams, who struggled to get the “freedom of movement” movement moving while NCAA coordinator of officials, would be delighted at the progress the sport has made in this department.

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March Madness 2026: Ranking Sweet 16 teams' chances to win NCAA championship | Sporting News

There may not be true "Cinderellas" in the 2026 edition of the NCAA Tournament Sweet 16, but there certainly are teams happy just to be competing.

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